This Jewish Insider article this morning supports reports I heard over the weekend that the Orthodox block in Ramapo is backing Adam Schleifer. My source indicated that the PPP poll released last week confirmed concerns in Monsey that preferred Rockland native David Carlucci could not win; the same with Buchwald. Mondaire Jones, understood to represent the Bernie Sanders-wing of the party, that is viewed warily within Monsey, wasn’t seriously considered. Schleifer, the former prosecutor, apparently made a convincing case that he had a stronger chance to win than Evelyn Farkas. Turnout, however, is the big question. With the late turn to Schleifer and lack of interest in a race for an office that has little impact on immediate community concerns, turnout is expected to by driven the state senate race where turnout should probably resemble the 2018 Carlucci/Goldberg primary (about 4000- 5000 Orthodox voters) rather than the full mobilization for the 2019 Rockland DA race where Orthodox turnout was about 8000.
In other campaign news, some very late PAC money continued to be declared for Mondaire Jones on Sunday with $12,500 from Equality PAC (Total: $67,500) and $1923 from The Collective PAC (Total: $26,031), all for television ads.
Predictit looks pretty good to me. (h/t Kevin W Davis on Facebook this morning).