Reaction to the Public Policy Polling (PPP) Poll sponsored by Greenburgh Democrats* continues today: it's the featured story in The Intercept today and Barrett Seaman is first on the scene in Westchester in the Hudson Independent. A New York Times story should be coming shortly. With the Journal News's astounding decision to furlough much of its political reporting staff for the week, we don't know when to expect an update on the CD17 campaign in our only daily regional newspaper. Reaction to the poll ranged from elation among the Mondairiacs (but some serious resolve from the candidate himself) to dismissal and skepticism from the other camps, including challenges to the polls validity coming from some candidates' disappointed staff and supporters.
* Full disclosure: I am a Greenburgh District Leader and part of the committee that raised funds to pay for the poll and contracted with PPP to conduct the poll. I am also acting as spokesman for this group of Greenburgh Democratic Party activists. This poll was arranged with a nationally-reputed polling firm independently of any campaign interference and was not coordinated with any campaigns.
ADAM UPS THE ANTE
Undeterred, and perhaps spurred, by the PPP results, Adam is pushing in more of his chips tonight to infuse his campaign with another $450,000 of his own money. This new loan raises the Schleifer family investment in Adam's campaign to $4,453,662 (I'm including contributions from family members named Schleifer because I don't see a real difference in the source of all these Schleifer funds). Let's ponder these numbers for a moment. We know from FEC filings that as of June 3, 2020, Schleifer has already spent $4,103,004 on his campaign. At that time, he had $368,525 cash on hand. I assume he wouldn't need another $450K unless he has already blown through most of that $368K. Let's give Adam the benefit of the doubt and allow him $100K left in campaign funds on June 23: that will mean he will certainly spend $4.8million on his campaign. Bear with me: let's assume record turnout of 80,000 and even imagine that Adam gets up to 25% and pulls this out, with 20,000 voters. That means that Schleifer - in this best case scenario - will spend $240 per vote. This may be an unprecedented per vote sum for a House race (at least for general elections; I'm not sure about primaries). And then, if Adam gets closer to 12,000 votes (which is what I expect), his per vote spending threatens to approach a mind-boggling $400 per vote.
PAC 'EM IN
Mondaire Jones continues to see last minute PAC money flowing to help his campaign: the Equality PAC just handed over $17,000 with $12,500 going to Sage Media Planning & Placement Inc for television advertisement and $5000 going Silversmith Strategies for television production. Equality PAC is the "political arm of the Congressional LGBTQ Equality Caucus."
Regular readers here will now be well familiar with the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC which today gave $20,824 to Deliver Strategies LLC for direct mail on behalf of Mondaire, raising that PAC's generosity up to $155,466 spent to help Mondaire's campaign.
Yesterday, the mysterious "dark money" Fight for the American Dream PAC gave another $12,000 to Middle Seat for "online advertising" to help Mondaire Jones and raising this PAC's total contributions up to $128,174. Jones continues to be "Fight" PAC's only beneficiary.
With at least $380,000 in PAC money this month, Mondaire Jones has now sped far ahead of Evelyn Farkas in outside PAC contributions paid directly to vendors to benefit the campaign.
Mondaire Jones also collected an impressive $38,200 in itemized contributions on just June 14 and 15 (Farkas by contrast raised $9691 in itemized contributions over the same two days). With this strong finish, Jones is approaching $1.6million in fundraising (including outside PAC spending) and may well surpass Farkas by the time the campaign ends.
Evelyn's only PAC supporter, Emily's List, has been quiet in recent days.